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【ABS Daily Review】The gap-filling market has ended, today's trading volume has decreased.
Longzhong 2025-04-02 17:12:01

1 Today's summary:

① Prices in South China rose and fell; prices in East China also had increases and decreases, but overall transactions were good.

②、ABS monthly output in April is expected to slightly decrease from the previous month.

2 Spot Overview

 

Table 1: Summary of Domestic ABS Prices (Unit: RMB/ton)

 

market

Specifications

4 It is already in English. The translation of "月1日" from Chinese to English is "January 1st".

4 February 2nd

Price Change Value

Price change percentage

Yuyao

15E1

11150

11150

0

0%

750A

No price

No price

No price

No price

HI-121H

11200

11200

0

0%

DG417

10800

11050

250

2.31%

PA-757K

11400

11250

-150

-1.32%

0215A

10900

11000

100

0.92%

Dongguan

15E1

10450

10450

0

0%

750A

No price

No Price

No price

No price

121H

10250

10300

50

0.49%

KF730

10030

10050

20

0.2%

DG417

10050

10050

0

0%

PA-757K

No price

No price

No price

No price

0215A

9480

9480

0

0%

Data source:Longzhong Information

Based on the regions of Yuyao and Dongguan, market prices fluctuate with some rising and some falling. Today's market trading has become subdued, the short-covering rally has ended, and some models are experiencing pullbacks and adjustments, with market prices fluctuating up and down.

Figure 2: Domestic ABS prices by region, 2023-2025 (Unit: RMB/ton)

[ABS日评]:月初市场抄底拿货  市场价格上行(20250401)

Data source: Longzhong Information

3 Production Dynamics

The Tianjin Dagukou 400,000 tons/year ABS facility is scheduled to be shut down in full from April 10th to April 22nd, with operations maintaining at 50% capacity from April 22nd to May 8th. The Liaoning Kingfa 600,000 tons/year ABS facility is expected to undergo a shutdown for maintenance from May 15th to June 30th, lasting for 45 days.

Figure 2 Weekly Domestic ABS Capacity Utilization Trend Chart

Figure 3 Weekly Domestic ABS Cost Profit Trend Chart

[ABS日评]:补空行情结束   今日成交转淡(20250402)

[ABS日评]:补空行情结束   今日成交转淡(20250402)

Data source: Longzhong Information

Data source: Longzhong Information

4 Price Forecast:

Today, prices in the South China market showed mixed movements with both gains and declines, while the East China market also experienced fluctuations with rises and falls. Market transactions have slowed, and the short-covering rally has ended, leaving trading activity weak. It is expected that tomorrow's market prices will maintain a slight downward trend in some areas.

5 Related product situation

Styrene Market In the afternoon, the main contracts for raw materials and styrene fell in price, and those in the spot market adjusted their prices accordingly. Business discussions in the Zhejiang market weakened intraday. , smell The original text seems to be incomplete or possibly a typo, as it only contains a comma and the character "闻" (smell/w闻" does not form a complete sentence or phrase in Chinese. The provided English translation, "smell," is the direct translation of the character "闻." If there was additional context or characters meant to be included, please provide the full text for an accurate translation. Currently There is a negotiation at 8080/8120 yuan/ton.

Acrylonitrile Market Today in East China Acrylonitrile market price The price has risen, with the mainstream being offered at reference prices of 9300-9400 yuan per ton, a increase of 100 yuan per ton at the lower end compared to the previous trading day. Local supply has decreased, with higher报价 in the market, and there is still a bullish sentiment in the market. (Note: The term "报价" was incomplete in the original text and seems to be cut off. In the context provided, it likely refers to "报价" meaning "quotations" or "offers" in the market.)

Butadiene Market As of the press release, the ex-tank self-pickup price of butadiene in Jiangyin, Jiangsu is around 11,000-11,100 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan month-on-month. The increase in supplier prices and downstream products has boosted the quotation sentiment of merchants, and higher offers have been heard in the market, but Downstream buying interest is relatively sluggish, and higher-priced offers are temporarily struggling to gain solid order support.

6 Data Calendar

Table 4 Overview of Domestic ABS Data (Unit: Million Tonnes)

Data

Release Date

Last period's data

This period's trend is expected

ABS Capacity utilization rate

Thursday at 11:30 AM

72.8%

ABS Weekly production

Wednesday at 4:00 PM

12.96

Manufacturer's inventory

Monday, Thursday 13:45PM

16.9

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Note:

1 Consider ↑↓ as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.

2 Consider ↗↘ as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%.

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